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21.07.11 01:19 |
The Federal Reserve is actively preparing for the possibility that the United States could default as a deadline for raising the government's $14.3 trillion borrowing limit looms, a top Fed policymaker said on Wednesday.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser said the Fed has for the past few months been working closely with Treasury, ironing out what to do if the world's biggest economy runs out of cash on August 2.
"We are in contingency planning mode," Plosser told Reuters in an interview at the regional central bank's headquarters in Philadelphia. "We are all engaged ... It's a very active process."
Plosser said his "gut feeling" was that President Barack Obama and Congress will come to an agreement to increase the Treasury's borrowing authority in time to avert a default on government obligations.
Obama was due to meet with top Republicans in Congress on Wednesday to discuss the latest attempts to end the dispute over raising the country's debt ceiling, a row which has raised the prospect of the Treasury Department running out of money to pay its bills next month.
The Treasury has repeatedly said default was unthinkable and that there was no alternative to raising the debt ceiling, and Plosser's remarks marked the most extensive public comments on the matter from a U.S. official.
One aspect of the Fed's contingency planning is purely operational: the Fed is developing procedures about how the Treasury will let it know which checks will get cleared and which won't, Plosser said.
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"It could be very bad. At some level we don't really know what the consequences could be. It could be very serious. It could be less serious. Do we really want to run that experiment?"
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Хотя и надеется на компромисс... шикарная концовка "Do we really want to run that experiment?"... эксперимент... запустить
Сегодня просмотрел, наверно, сотни мнений по рынку практически тотально: этого не может быть, потому как этого не может быть никогда
На самом деле действительно сложно представить себе дефолт в таком, казалось бы, нелепом исполнении, рынки тотально настроены (по крайней мере на словах), что такого быть не может (это ведь нелогично, нерационально, безумно в конце концов, никто не знает какие будут последствия), хотя где-то проскакивает истерическая нотка, но в целом большая уверенность, что допустить такого власти США не могут, просто не могут и все ... и если допустят таки - то истерика будет очень жестока, потому как бежать то по сути некуда.
Но пока все твердят "этого не может быть, потому как этого не может быть никогда" ФРС и Минфин пытаются подстелить на всякий случай соломку, хотя Плоссер и признает что они не знают к чему дефолт мог бы привести.
Обама сегодня встречается и встречается, но почитывая как пытали пресс-секретаря Обамы
Q What reason do you have or does the President have to be optimistic that the House Republicans or the House of Representatives in general can muster a majority vote for anything other than the cut, cap and balance bill?
MR. CARNEY: The reason to be optimistic is that the members of the House of Representatives were elected by the American people, by their constituents in their districts.
Q So just -- faith in humanity is your answer. (Laughter.)
MR. CARNEY: Well, like I said, we’re said we’re keen observers of the dynamic up there and we think there is reason to be optimistic that something like this could be achieved. Obviously, it takes a lot of work and willpower --
Стоит почитать, очень стоит, особенно ту часть где у него пытаться выпытать с чего это Обама так оптимистично вчера выступал - ответ забавляет, он верит ....
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